The model feels the Texans are 10 point favorites - the line moved in the Cowboy's direction from 7.5 on Tuesday to 7 today. O/U continues to decrease from 42.5 on Tuesday to 41 today. ..
Analytics will tell you always take the points (Cowboys +7) in a low Total game (less than 43 points), but personally, I'd consider the Texans -7 and the UNDER on the Cowboys implied total of 17. I don't trust their offense to score and the defense has not been playing well against the run which gives Stroud enough cover if he's off as he has been the last few weeks.
I will add - I don't always agree with the model, the intent is for it to be an objective data-driven reference point.
What’s the opinion on Texans @ cowboys tonight
The model feels the Texans are 10 point favorites - the line moved in the Cowboy's direction from 7.5 on Tuesday to 7 today. O/U continues to decrease from 42.5 on Tuesday to 41 today. ..
Analytics will tell you always take the points (Cowboys +7) in a low Total game (less than 43 points), but personally, I'd consider the Texans -7 and the UNDER on the Cowboys implied total of 17. I don't trust their offense to score and the defense has not been playing well against the run which gives Stroud enough cover if he's off as he has been the last few weeks.
I will add - I don't always agree with the model, the intent is for it to be an objective data-driven reference point.
Well I’m here for the model and for your interpretation of it. Thanks for your input!